Based upon what Erick Erickson is hearing from his inside sources.

I'm confident enough to put this up now, but willing to be wrong.

Right now though, every sign, signal, and background chatter indicates John McCain will pick Tim Pawlenty, Minnesota's governor, as his running mate.

UPDATE: A source close to the campaign now confirms for me that it "more likely than not" is Pawlenty. He does, however, caution me that the campaign does not actually want to leak tonight lest the Obama camp get too much of a chance to play the victim card with a sympathetic media.

Below the fold, I've compiled data on Pawlenty that you might find useful.

I've said it repeatedly in recent weeks -- Tim Pawlenty is not a bad choice in my book. And I have one friend who will be absolutely floating on air if this is true -- his family and the Pawlenty family have been friends going back as far as he can remember.