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January 22, 2012

In Which I Reiterate My Call For A Brokered Convention

A day after Newt Gingrich's win/Mitt Romney's loss in the South Carolina primary, I find myself drawn back to where I was on December 13 of last year.

I think any of the current crop of GOP candidates will be a disaster in November of 2012 if they manage to get the nomination through the existing primary process. All will bring a disaster of intra-party division and civil war, with a some bloc or other of voters staying home.

* * *

I therefore support an outcome that has not been seen in decades the brokered convention wherein NO CANDIDATE has sufficient delegates to take the nomination on the first ballot, and convention delegates are then free to choose the best available nominee whether or not that individual is among the crop of candidates that ran in the primaries.

Think about it. Tim Pawlenty dropped out of the race early -- could he become a compromise candidate we could all accept? Might Jeb Bush emerge as the GOP standard-bearer, since he is acceptable to all factions? Bobby Jindal? Mitch Daniels? Eric Cantor? Paul Ryan? Or maybe, just maybe, a pair might emerge from among the current crop who could unite the various factions of the GOP together and heal the rifts so that the party can move forward and accomplish that which ought to be the singular goal of all the various interest groups within the GOP for the good of the nation, guaranteeing that Barack Obama is a one-term president.

Having had a day to try to digest the outcome of yesterday's race, I still find myself with some of the same issues.

Mitt Romney, for all I believe he is the most electable candidate in the general election, just isn't getting traction with the most conservative wing of the base.

Newt Gingrich, despite his victory, still suffers from high negatives among independent voters that the eventual GOP ticket needs to attract in November AND among disaffected Democrats who might sit home if someone else is the nominee.

Rick Santorum may be coming across as more attractive to everyone, but does he have the organizational and fundraising wherewithal to win.

And then there is Ron Paul, whose followers are America's equivalent of the UK's Monster Raving Loony Party.

Add to that the reality that there are states where either Gingrich, Santorum, or both are not on the ballot for the GOP primary, and you can see the distinct reality that we might have no one enter the convention with sufficient delegates to win on the first ballot.

And I for one see that as a good thing.

Face it -- we need a process which leads us to coalesce around one of the remaining candidates, or we need to get someone who is not currently in the race to emerge as such a unifying figure. I don't see the former happening in the primaries, and it is just to late for the latter to happen.

Which leads us to the city of Tampa and the final week of August.

This primary process will select delegates to the 2012 Republican National Convention who are committed to the candidates currently running, as well as some committed to candidates who withdraw (Texas could, for example, still go heavily for Rick Perry) and some who are officially uncommitted. In the very likely event that no candidate commands the convention majority needed to win on the first ballot, what better group of Republicans -- activists of all stripes -- to weigh all options and choose the best ticket possible for the GOP?

Think about the candidates who did not enter the race for one reason or another, but for whom we of the grass roots have said we long. Figures of national prominence like Marco Rubio, Bobby Jindal, or Allen West -- and, of course, Sarah Palin. Respected GOP leaders like Jeb Bush, Eric Cantor, or Paul Ryan. Or maybe, just maybe, one of the current candidates might be able to persuade the delegates that he is, in fact, the best hope the 2012 presidential election..

But regardless of who the nominee would be, I believe that such a process would produce greater unity -- and a greater chance at victory -- than the process currently at work is likely to produce. What's more, such a brokered convention would likely produce greater consensus than currently exists among the disparate factions of the base -- and would energize us for a momentous, historic election of the likes this country has not seen in decades.





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Comments on In Which I Reiterate My Call For A Brokered Convention

Could it be that the nation is het sick and tiered of the massive financial mismanagement the GOP has conducted since Herbert Hoover? Or we are through with religious nut jobs trying to institute their brand of religion as national law as the Muslims have in other countries? Or are we tired of the lies, hypocrisy,and severe we have seen for decades? Or the Party first, fuck the best interest of the country attitude? These are the sure signs of a desparate party in its death throws.

|| Posted by Darryl Bush, January 23, 2012 10:23 AM ||

Do you really believe that allowing the political elite to pick the candidate in backrooms trading favors will bring "greater unity" to the party?

|| Posted by GoneWithTheWind, January 23, 2012 11:32 AM ||

DarrylBush -- i think you are just nuts.

GWTW -- Having participated in the delegate selection process here in Texas at the GOP state convention over the three previous election cycles -- and planning to participate in it this year -- I can tell you that that the sort of delegates who usually end up at the convention from this state are overwhelmingly the grassroots. And while I haven't been to the national convention (though I plan on putting myself forward as a possible delegate this year), I can tell you that they are the sort of folks I would trust in precisely the scenario I put forward here. Why? Because they will be out of control of "the political elite".

|| Posted by Rhymes With Right, January 23, 2012 04:25 PM ||
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NAME: Greg
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