The important number seems to be who is more likely to vote for one candidate or another.
Yeah, Obama won the PPP poll – but what did it do with his standing among voters?
Tonight's debate was more a win for Obama than a loss for Romney. Romney, despite losing, came out with 38% of voters now saying they're more likely to vote for him to 35% who say they're less likely to for a +3 positive spread. Obama just came out even better with 37% of voters saying they're more likely to vote for him to 31% who are less likely to for a +6 spread.
What about CNN/ORC? Yeah, Obama won 48% to Romney’s 40% -- but look at this.
Who did the debate make you more likely to vote for?
Mitt Romney 25%
Barack Obama 24%
Again, it looks to me like the “win” did nothing to help Obama and the “loss” didn’t hurt Romney.
Other polls have similar results – an Obama “win” but high marks for Romney on his positions and no significant change in who will vote for whom.
That being the case, was it really a win or a loss for either?