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January 01, 2014

Predictions 2014

Predictions, predictions, predictions — do I have predictions for 2014? You bet I do. Let’s break them down by category.

World Affairs

  1. We’ll finally see the death of Fidel Castro. The Left around the world will mourn deeply.

  2. The current Turkish government will fall, and a more secular regime will replace it — returning the nation to its historical political configuration.

  3. Nobody will do anything serious about the instability in Syria because there are no good guys there — which means a year from now Assad will still be killing his people and Islamists will still be trying to overthrow him.

  4. Iran will continue working towards nuclear weapons — and Israel will continue to show restraint, not launching a military attack on the Islamic Republic. However, there will be more “unexpected deaths” of researchers, “industrial accidents” and “software problems” that most will understand are the results of Israeli efforts to provide for its own security.

  5. The Christian population of the Middle East will continue to be persecuted and the governments of the West will continue to ignore the violence against followers of Christ in the region.

National Affairs

  1. The GOP will hold the House of Representatives, even picking up a handful of seats as a part of the ObamaCare backlash.

  2. The GOP will also win the US Senate — but will hold only 51 seats following bruising primaries against incumbents and a couple of meltdowns by “not ready for prime-time” nominees.

  3. Barack Obama will continue to govern using the same playbook as the late Hugo Chavez, issuing executive decrees and making illegal recess appointments despite the restrictions on executive power contained in the Constitution.

  4. Chief Justice John Roberts will write a 5-4 majority opinion on the ObamaCare birth control mandate — and will deliver a stinging defeat to Barack Obama by striking down the mandate on First Amendment grounds.

  5. Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden will both declare their candidacy for President before Christmas. So will at least three Republicans — one of whom will be Chris Christie. Thus begins the long slog to November of 2016.

Texas Affairs

  1. Despite drawing a great deal of national attention — and out of state money — Wendy Davis will NOT be elected Governor. Greg Abbott will be elected with over 55% of the vote.

  2. Republicans will hold on to all statewide elected offices and both houses of the legislature. Among the statewide winners will be Jerry Patterson as Lt. Governor and George P. Bush as Texas Land Commissioner.

  3. While Senator John Cornyn will face a crowded primary field that includes Congressman Steve Stockman, he will be the Republican nominee for Senate and will hold the seat for the GOP in November.

  4. As the CD36 GOP primary has 12 candidates, the nomination will be decided in a runoff between two candidates who have garnered only about 20% of the vote each in the primary. The ultimate victor will be Seabrook businessman Dave Norman.

  5. In 2014, the Houston Texans have their third number one draft pick since 2002. In 2006, they did the unexpected thing and drafted Mario Williams despite Reggie Bush being the consensus #1 pick of experts and Vince Young being the fans sentimental favorite — but this year we will see them pick a quarterback with that first pick. And no, it won’t be Fresno State’s Derek Carr, the younger brother of their 2002 number one pick — it will be the very safe and very expected Teddy Bridgewater of Louisville, despite sentimental fan hopes for Texas A&M’s Johnny Manziel.

My fellow members of the Watcher's Council also made predictions for the new year -- check them out here.





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NAME: Greg
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